Macro
Fed Pivot Watch: Reading the December Dots
Why our model assigns 68% probability to a March cut and what to position ahead of FOMC.
May 8, 2026
Insights
Research from the desk
Crypto
BTC Breakout: $100K is a Floor, Not a Ceiling
On-chain data, ETF flows, and miner capitulation patterns suggest the next leg up has begun.
May 6, 2026
Equities
AI Capex Cycle: Who Wins Round Two
Beyond Nvidia — the second-derivative trades capturing the next $400B of AI infrastructure spend.
May 3, 2026
FX
Yen Carry Unwind: Tactical Playbook
USD/JPY positioning has flipped. Three trade structures to capture mean reversion with defined risk.
Apr 29, 2026
Options
VIX Term Structure Signals Caution
Backwardation in the front month historically precedes 4%+ corrections within 14 trading days.
Apr 26, 2026
Quant
Why Mean Reversion Stopped Working
Regime detection on QQQ shows momentum has dominated since Q3 2025. Adapt or underperform.
Apr 22, 2026
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